Primeira Liga Regular Season - 11
Alverca

Alverca

18:00
Sat, Nov 7
Casa Pia

Casa Pia

Expert Prediction

TIP
Over 2.5
ODDS
1.89
PROBABILITY
52.91%

Prediction Analysis

Alverca host Casa Pia in the Primeira Liga. Recent meetings have produced an average of 3.67 goals. Across the season the two attacks average 1.8 goals per game between them, while the two defences concede 3.3. That goal profile is what supports the Over 2.5 selection. The model rates this selection at 52.91%.

Key Match Factors

  • Alverca have taken 9 points from their last 5 matches (3W-0D-2L), while Casa Pia have taken 9 (3W-0D-2L).
  • Alverca have scored 13 goals in 10 league games this season, conceding 14.
  • Casa Pia have scored 5 goals in 10 league games, conceding 19.
  • Alverca currently sit 10th on 11 points, while Casa Pia are 17th on 7.
  • Across the last 3 head-to-head meetings, these sides have averaged 3.67 goals per game.
  • Both teams scored in 2 of those 3 meetings.

Recent Form

Alverca
W W L L L
Casa Pia
W L W W L

Team Statistics

10
Matches Played
10
3
Wins
2
2
Draws
1
5
Losses
7
13
Goals Scored
5
14
Goals Conceded
19

Head to Head

Apr 12, 2026
Alverca 3 - 1 Casa Pia
Nov 29, 2025
Casa Pia 0 - 2 Alverca
Aug 2, 2025
Alverca 2 - 3 Casa Pia

Standings

Pos Team Pts
1 FC Porto FC Porto 30
2 Benfica Benfica 25
3 Sporting CP Sporting CP 21
4 Santa Clara Santa Clara 21
5 Arouca Arouca 20
6 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 20
7 GIL Vicente GIL Vicente 15
8 SC Braga SC Braga 14
9 Moreirense Moreirense 14
10 Alverca Alverca 11
11 Famalicao Famalicao 10
12 Estrela Estrela 10
13 Vitória SC Vitória SC 9
14 Maritimo Maritimo 8
15 Nacional Nacional 7
16 Rio Ave Rio Ave 7
17 Casa Pia Casa Pia 7
18 Estoril Estoril 2

Betting Odds

William Hill
Home 1.73
Draw 3.60
Away 4.50
Bet365
Home 1.70
Draw 3.80
Away 4.75
Marathonbet
Home 1.69
Draw 3.64
Away 4.80
Betfair
Home 1.73
Draw 3.70
Away 4.60
BetVictor
Home 1.70
Draw 3.50
Away 4.50

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