Benfica host Lech Poznan in the UEFA Europa League. Recent meetings have produced an average of 5 goals. Across the season the two attacks average 5.51 goals per game between them, while the two defences concede 2.46. That goal profile is what supports the Over 2.5 selection. The model rates this selection at 73.53%.

• Benfica have taken 15 points from their last 5 matches (5W-0D-0L), while Lech Poznan have taken 7 (2W-1D-2L).
• Benfica have scored 29 goals in 9 league games this season, conceding 8.
• Lech Poznan have scored 16 goals in 7 league games, conceding 11.
• Benfica currently sit 1st on 9 points, while Lech Poznan are 32nd on 1.
• Across the last 2 head-to-head meetings, these sides have averaged 5 goals per game.
• Both teams scored in 1 of those 2 meetings.