RB Leipzig host Manchester City in the UEFA Champions League. Recent meetings have produced an average of 4.2 goals. Across the season the two attacks average 4 goals per game between them, while the two defences concede 4.33. That goal profile is what supports the Over 2.5 selection. The model rates this selection at 73.53%.

• RB Leipzig have taken 9 points from their last 5 matches (3W-0D-2L), while Manchester City have taken 7 (2W-1D-2L).
• RB Leipzig have scored 3 goals in 3 league games this season, conceding 8.
• Manchester City have scored 9 goals in 3 league games, conceding 5.
• Across the last 5 head-to-head meetings, these sides have averaged 4.2 goals per game.
• Both teams scored in 4 of those 5 meetings.
• Manchester City have drawn 1 of their last 5 matches.