The match finished 2–0. The 2 prediction did not land.

Watford host Derby in the Championship. Watford have taken 3 points from their last 5 matches, compared with 10 for Derby. Derby have scored 67 and conceded 59 in the league. Derby sit 8th, compared with Watford in 16th. The away side's form and match profile therefore support the 2 selection. The model rates this selection at 30.77%.

• Watford have taken 3 points from their last 5 matches (0W-3D-2L), while Derby have taken 10 (3W-1D-1L).
• Watford have scored 53 goals in 46 league games this season, conceding 65.
• Derby have scored 67 goals in 46 league games, conceding 59.
• Watford currently sit 16th on 57 points, while Derby are 8th on 69.
• Across the last 5 head-to-head meetings, these sides have averaged 3 goals per game.
• Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 meetings.