The match finished 1–0. The 2 prediction did not land.

Matsumoto Yamaga host Albirex Niigata in the J-League Cup. Matsumoto Yamaga have taken 6 points from their last 5 matches, compared with 10 for Albirex Niigata. Albirex Niigata have scored 2 and conceded 2 in the league. Albirex Niigata have won 1 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings. The away side's form and match profile therefore support the 2 selection. The model rates this selection at 43.48%.

• Matsumoto Yamaga have taken 6 points from their last 5 matches (1W-3D-1L), while Albirex Niigata have taken 10 (3W-1D-1L).
• Matsumoto Yamaga have scored 4 goals in 2 league games this season, conceding 3.
• Albirex Niigata have scored 2 goals in 2 league games, conceding 2.
• Across the last 5 head-to-head meetings, these sides have averaged 1.8 goals per game.
• Both teams scored in 2 of those 5 meetings.
• Matsumoto Yamaga have drawn 3 of their last 5 matches.