The match finished 2–2. The 2 prediction did not land.

RB Leipzig host Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga. RB Leipzig have taken 5 points from their last 5 matches, compared with 12 for Borussia Dortmund. Borussia Dortmund have scored 70 and conceded 34 in the league. Borussia Dortmund sit 2nd, compared with RB Leipzig in 3rd. Borussia Dortmund have won 1 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings. The away side's form and match profile therefore support the 2 selection. The model rates this selection at 35.09%.

• RB Leipzig have taken 5 points from their last 5 matches (1W-2D-2L), while Borussia Dortmund have taken 12 (4W-0D-1L).
• RB Leipzig have scored 66 goals in 34 league games this season, conceding 47.
• Borussia Dortmund have scored 70 goals in 34 league games, conceding 34.
• RB Leipzig currently sit 3rd on 65 points, while Borussia Dortmund are 2nd on 73.
• Across the last 5 head-to-head meetings, these sides have averaged 3.2 goals per game.
• Both teams scored in 4 of those 5 meetings.