Poland host Sweden in the UEFA Nations League. Recent meetings have produced an average of 4 goals. Across the season the two attacks average 3.5 goals per game between them, while the two defences concede 1.75. That goal profile is what supports the Over 2.5 selection. The model rates this selection at 62.50%.

• Poland have taken 5 points from their last 5 matches (1W-2D-2L), while Sweden have taken 10 (3W-1D-1L).
• Poland have scored 7 goals in 4 league games this season, conceding 4.
• Sweden have scored 7 goals in 4 league games, conceding 3.
• Across the last 4 head-to-head meetings, these sides have averaged 4 goals per game.
• Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 meetings.
• Poland have drawn 2 of their last 5 matches.