Montenegro host Latvia in the UEFA Nations League. Montenegro have taken 11 points from their last 5 matches, compared with 1 for Latvia. Montenegro have scored 7 and conceded 4 in the league. Montenegro have won 2 of the last 4 head-to-head meetings. The home side's form and match profile therefore support the 1 selection. The model rates this selection at 76.34%.

• Montenegro have taken 11 points from their last 5 matches (3W-2D-0L), while Latvia have taken 1 (0W-1D-3L).
• Montenegro have scored 7 goals in 4 league games this season, conceding 4.
• Latvia have scored 2 goals in 4 league games, conceding 6.
• Across the last 4 head-to-head meetings, these sides have averaged 2 goals per game.
• Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 meetings.
• Montenegro have drawn 2 of their last 5 matches.