England host Croatia in the UEFA Nations League. England have taken 12 points from their last 5 matches, compared with 3 for Croatia. England have scored 14 and conceded 3 in the league. England have won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings. The home side's form and match profile therefore support the 1 selection. The model rates this selection at 85.47%.

• England have taken 12 points from their last 5 matches (4W-0D-1L), while Croatia have taken 3 (1W-0D-4L).
• England have scored 14 goals in 4 league games this season, conceding 3.
• Croatia have scored 4 goals in 4 league games, conceding 14.
• Across the last 5 head-to-head meetings, these sides have averaged 3.4 goals per game.
• Both teams scored in 2 of those 5 meetings.