The match finished 0–2, producing 2 total goals. The Over 1.5 prediction landed successfully.

Estrela host Casa Pia in the Primeira Liga. Recent meetings have produced an average of 3.6 goals. Across the season the two attacks average 2.11 goals per game between them, while the two defences concede 3.78. That goal profile is what supports the Over 1.5 selection. The model rates this selection at 76.92%.

• Estrela have taken 7 points from their last 5 matches (2W-1D-2L), while Casa Pia have taken 4 (1W-1D-3L).
• Estrela have scored 14 goals in 9 league games this season, conceding 17.
• Casa Pia have scored 5 goals in 9 league games, conceding 17.
• Estrela currently sit 12th on 10 points, while Casa Pia are 16th on 7.
• Across the last 5 head-to-head meetings, these sides have averaged 3.6 goals per game.
• Both teams scored in 2 of those 5 meetings.