Moreirense host Estrela in the Primeira Liga. Recent meetings have produced an average of 2.8 goals. Across the season the two attacks average 2.78 goals per game between them, while the two defences concede 3.67. That goal profile is what supports the Over 1.5 selection. The model rates this selection at 78.74%.

• Moreirense have taken 7 points from their last 5 matches (2W-1D-2L), while Estrela have taken 4 (1W-1D-3L).
• Moreirense have scored 11 goals in 9 league games this season, conceding 16.
• Estrela have scored 14 goals in 9 league games, conceding 17.
• Moreirense currently sit 10th on 11 points, while Estrela are 12th on 10.
• Across the last 5 head-to-head meetings, these sides have averaged 2.8 goals per game.
• Both teams scored in 4 of those 5 meetings.