The match finished 2–0. The Home Win prediction landed successfully.

Ajax host Groningen in the Eredivisie. Ajax have taken 8 points from their last 5 matches, compared with 7 for Groningen. Ajax have scored 66 and conceded 42 in the league. Ajax sit 5th, above Groningen in 9th. Ajax have won 3 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings. The home side's form and match profile therefore support the Home Win selection. The model rates this selection at 54.35%.

• Ajax have taken 8 points from their last 5 matches (2W-2D-1L), while Groningen have taken 7 (2W-1D-2L).
• Ajax have scored 66 goals in 36 league games this season, conceding 42.
• Groningen have scored 49 goals in 35 league games, conceding 47.
• Ajax currently sit 5th on 56 points, while Groningen are 9th on 48.
• Across the last 5 head-to-head meetings, these sides have averaged 3.2 goals per game.
• Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 meetings.