The match finished 1–5, producing 6 total goals. The Over 1.5 prediction landed successfully.

Excelsior host Groningen in the Eredivisie. Recent meetings have produced an average of 3.6 goals. Across the season the two attacks average 4.5 goals per game between them, while the two defences concede 3.5. That goal profile is what supports the Over 1.5 selection. The model rates this selection at 85.47%.

• Excelsior have taken 8 points from their last 5 matches (2W-2D-1L), while Groningen have taken 5 (1W-2D-2L).
• Excelsior have scored 16 goals in 8 league games this season, conceding 14.
• Groningen have scored 20 goals in 8 league games, conceding 14.
• Excelsior currently sit 9th on 11 points, while Groningen are 6th on 14.
• Across the last 5 head-to-head meetings, these sides have averaged 3.6 goals per game.
• Both teams scored in 2 of those 5 meetings.