The match finished 1–0. The 2 prediction did not land.

Valenzana host Ligorna in the Serie D - Girone A. Valenzana have taken 6 points from their last 5 matches, compared with 10 for Ligorna. Ligorna have scored 70 and conceded 29 in the league. Ligorna sit 2nd, compared with Valenzana in 8th. Ligorna have won 1 of the last 2 head-to-head meetings. The away side's form and match profile therefore support the 2 selection. The model rates this selection at 59.88%.

• Valenzana have taken 6 points from their last 5 matches (2W-0D-3L), while Ligorna have taken 10 (3W-1D-1L).
• Ligorna have scored 70 goals in 36 league games, conceding 29.
• Valenzana currently sit 8th on 45 points, while Ligorna are 2nd on 72.
• Across the last 2 head-to-head meetings, these sides have averaged 1.5 goals per game.
• Ligorna have drawn 1 of their last 5 matches.