Union Berlin host Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga. Union Berlin have taken 6 points from their last 5 matches, compared with 13 for Borussia Dortmund. Borussia Dortmund have scored 11 and conceded 4 in the league. Borussia Dortmund sit 2nd, compared with Union Berlin in 16th. Borussia Dortmund have won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings. The away side's form and match profile therefore support the 2 selection. The model rates this selection at 59.88%.

• Union Berlin have taken 6 points from their last 5 matches (2W-0D-3L), while Borussia Dortmund have taken 13 (4W-1D-0L).
• Union Berlin have scored 5 goals in 5 league games this season, conceding 17.
• Borussia Dortmund have scored 11 goals in 5 league games, conceding 4.
• Union Berlin currently sit 16th on 4 points, while Borussia Dortmund are 2nd on 13.
• Across the last 5 head-to-head meetings, these sides have averaged 3.4 goals per game.
• Both teams scored in 1 of those 5 meetings.