Türkiye host Italy in the UEFA Nations League. Recent meetings have produced an average of 2.67 goals. That goal profile is what supports the Over 1.5 selection. The model rates this selection at 78.13%.

• Türkiye have taken 9 points from their last 5 matches (3W-0D-2L), while Italy have taken 6 (2W-0D-0L).
• Türkiye currently sit 4th on 0 points, while Italy are 2nd on 0.
• Across the last 3 head-to-head meetings, these sides have averaged 2.67 goals per game.
• Both teams scored in 1 of those 3 meetings.
• 3 recent meetings have produced 2.67 goals per game, supporting Over 1.5.