The match finished 2–3, producing 5 total goals. The Over 1.5 prediction landed successfully.

Stoke City host Middlesbrough in the Championship. Recent meetings have produced an average of 2.8 goals. Across the season the two attacks average 3.56 goals per game between them, while the two defences concede 2.78. That goal profile is what supports the Over 1.5 selection. The model rates this selection at 83.33%.

• Stoke City have taken 13 points from their last 5 matches (4W-1D-0L), while Middlesbrough have taken 8 (2W-2D-1L).
• Stoke City have scored 15 goals in 9 league games this season, conceding 13.
• Middlesbrough have scored 17 goals in 9 league games, conceding 12.
• Stoke City currently sit 6th on 16 points, while Middlesbrough are 2nd on 21.
• Across the last 5 head-to-head meetings, these sides have averaged 2.8 goals per game.
• Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 meetings.