The match finished 1–2, producing 3 total goals. The Over 1.5 prediction landed successfully.

Sparta Rotterdam host Ajax in the Eredivisie. Recent meetings have produced an average of 3.4 goals. Across the season the two attacks average 4.6 goals per game between them, while the two defences concede 3.7. That goal profile is what supports the Over 1.5 selection. The model rates this selection at 90.91%.

• Sparta Rotterdam have taken 5 points from their last 5 matches (1W-2D-2L), while Ajax have taken 8 (2W-2D-1L).
• Sparta Rotterdam have scored 17 goals in 10 league games this season, conceding 24.
• Ajax have scored 29 goals in 10 league games, conceding 13.
• Sparta Rotterdam currently sit 14th on 9 points, while Ajax are 2nd on 21.
• Across the last 5 head-to-head meetings, these sides have averaged 3.4 goals per game.
• Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 meetings.