The match finished 2–2. The Away Win prediction did not land.

Shinnik Yaroslavl host Arsenal Tula in the First League. Shinnik Yaroslavl have taken 6 points from their last 5 matches, compared with 7 for Arsenal Tula. Arsenal Tula have scored 12 and conceded 22 in the league. Arsenal Tula sit 11th, compared with Shinnik Yaroslavl in 9th. The away side's form and match profile therefore support the Away Win selection. The model rates this selection at 33.78%.

• Shinnik Yaroslavl have taken 6 points from their last 5 matches (1W-3D-1L), while Arsenal Tula have taken 7 (2W-1D-2L).
• Shinnik Yaroslavl have scored 15 goals in 12 league games this season, conceding 13.
• Arsenal Tula have scored 12 goals in 12 league games, conceding 22.
• Shinnik Yaroslavl currently sit 9th on 16 points, while Arsenal Tula are 11th on 13.
• Across the last 5 head-to-head meetings, these sides have averaged 2.6 goals per game.
• Both teams scored in 4 of those 5 meetings.