The match finished 0–1. The 2 prediction landed successfully.

San Donato Tavarnelle host Poggibonsi in the Serie D - Girone E. San Donato Tavarnelle have taken 3 points from their last 5 matches, compared with 10 for Poggibonsi. Poggibonsi have scored 29 and conceded 47 in the league. Poggibonsi sit 16th, compared with San Donato Tavarnelle in 12th. Poggibonsi have won 2 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings. The away side's form and match profile therefore support the 2 selection. The model rates this selection at 27.03%.

• San Donato Tavarnelle have taken 3 points from their last 5 matches (0W-3D-2L), while Poggibonsi have taken 10 (3W-1D-1L).
• San Donato Tavarnelle have scored 30 goals in 34 league games this season, conceding 35.
• Poggibonsi have scored 29 goals in 35 league games, conceding 47.
• San Donato Tavarnelle currently sit 12th on 40 points, while Poggibonsi are 16th on 31.
• Across the last 5 head-to-head meetings, these sides have averaged 1.4 goals per game.
• Both teams scored in 1 of those 5 meetings.