The match finished 1–1. The 2 prediction did not land.

Rayo Vallecano host Athletic Club in the La Liga. Rayo Vallecano have taken 4 points from their last 5 matches, compared with 12 for Athletic Club. Athletic Club have scored 43 and conceded 58 in the league. Athletic Club sit 12th, compared with Rayo Vallecano in 8th. Athletic Club have won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings. The away side's form and match profile therefore support the 2 selection. The model rates this selection at 32.79%.

• Rayo Vallecano have taken 4 points from their last 5 matches (1W-1D-3L), while Athletic Club have taken 12 (4W-0D-1L).
• Rayo Vallecano have scored 41 goals in 38 league games this season, conceding 44.
• Athletic Club have scored 43 goals in 38 league games, conceding 58.
• Rayo Vallecano currently sit 8th on 50 points, while Athletic Club are 12th on 45.
• Across the last 5 head-to-head meetings, these sides have averaged 2.2 goals per game.
• Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 meetings.