The match finished 4–1, producing 5 total goals. The Over 1.5 prediction landed successfully.

QPR host Derby in the Championship. Recent meetings have produced an average of 3.4 goals. Across the season the two attacks average 2.4 goals per game between them, while the two defences concede 2.8. That goal profile is what supports the Over 1.5 selection. The model rates this selection at 80.00%.

• QPR have taken 4 points from their last 5 matches (0W-4D-1L), while Derby have taken 2 (0W-2D-3L).
• QPR have scored 15 goals in 10 league games this season, conceding 9.
• Derby have scored 9 goals in 10 league games, conceding 19.
• QPR currently sit 5th on 17 points, while Derby are 23rd on 6.
• Across the last 5 head-to-head meetings, these sides have averaged 3.4 goals per game.
• Both teams scored in 2 of those 5 meetings.