The match finished 0–1. The 2 prediction landed successfully.

Progresso host Sangiuliano City in the Serie D - Girone D. Progresso have taken 2 points from their last 5 matches, compared with 9 for Sangiuliano City. Sangiuliano City have scored 41 and conceded 45 in the league. Sangiuliano City sit 9th, compared with Progresso in 12th. Sangiuliano City have won 3 of the last 4 head-to-head meetings. The away side's form and match profile therefore support the 2 selection. The model rates this selection at 44.84%.

• Progresso have taken 2 points from their last 5 matches (0W-2D-3L), while Sangiuliano City have taken 9 (3W-0D-2L).
• Progresso have scored 38 goals in 34 league games this season, conceding 42.
• Sangiuliano City have scored 41 goals in 34 league games, conceding 45.
• Progresso currently sit 12th on 36 points, while Sangiuliano City are 9th on 47.
• Across the last 4 head-to-head meetings, these sides have averaged 1.25 goals per game.
• Both teams scored in 1 of those 4 meetings.