The match finished 1–0. The 2 prediction did not land.

Padova host Carrarese in the Serie B. Padova have taken 4 points from their last 5 matches, compared with 10 for Carrarese. Carrarese have scored 47 and conceded 52 in the league. Carrarese sit 12th, compared with Padova in 10th. The away side's form and match profile therefore support the 2 selection. The model rates this selection at 35.71%.

• Padova have taken 4 points from their last 5 matches (1W-1D-3L), while Carrarese have taken 10 (3W-1D-1L).
• Padova have scored 39 goals in 38 league games this season, conceding 49.
• Carrarese have scored 47 goals in 38 league games, conceding 52.
• Padova currently sit 10th on 46 points, while Carrarese are 12th on 44.
• Across the last 2 head-to-head meetings, these sides have averaged 0.5 goals per game.
• Padova have drawn 1 of their last 5 matches.