Newcastle host Aston Villa in the Premier League. Recent meetings have produced an average of 2.8 goals. Across the season the two attacks average 2.8 goals per game between them, while the two defences concede 3.63. That goal profile is what supports the Over 1.5 selection. The model rates this selection at 85.47%.

• Newcastle have scored 9 goals in 5 league games this season, conceding 9.
• Aston Villa have scored 6 goals in 6 league games, conceding 11.
• Newcastle currently sit 11th on 8 points, while Aston Villa are 15th on 5.
• Across the last 5 head-to-head meetings, these sides have averaged 2.8 goals per game.
• Both teams scored in 2 of those 5 meetings.
• Aston Villa have drawn 1 of their last 5 matches.