New York City FC host Atlanta United FC in the Major League Soccer. Recent meetings have produced an average of 4.2 goals. Across the season the two attacks average 2.71 goals per game between them, while the two defences concede 3.13. That goal profile is what supports the Over 1.5 selection. The model rates this selection at 84.75%.

• New York City FC have taken 3 points from their last 5 matches (0W-3D-2L), while Atlanta United FC have taken 4 (1W-1D-3L).
• New York City FC have scored 45 goals in 31 league games this season, conceding 43.
• Atlanta United FC have scored 39 goals in 31 league games, conceding 54.
• Across the last 5 head-to-head meetings, these sides have averaged 4.2 goals per game.
• Both teams scored in 4 of those 5 meetings.
• New York City FC have drawn 3 of their last 5 matches.