Netherlands host Serbia in the UEFA Nations League. Netherlands have taken 11 points from their last 5 matches, compared with 3 for Serbia. Netherlands have scored 5 and conceded 4 in the league. Netherlands have won 1 of the last 1 head-to-head meetings. The home side's form and match profile therefore support the 1 selection. The model rates this selection at 66.67%.

• Netherlands have taken 11 points from their last 5 matches (3W-2D-0L), while Serbia have taken 3 (1W-0D-4L).
• Netherlands have scored 5 goals in 3 league games this season, conceding 4.
• Serbia have scored 2 goals in 3 league games, conceding 6.
• Across the last 1 head-to-head meetings, these sides have averaged 3 goals per game.
• Both teams scored in 1 of those 1 meetings.
• Netherlands have drawn 2 of their last 5 matches.