The match finished 1–1. The 2 prediction did not land.

Merthyr Town host Oxford City in the National League - North. Merthyr Town have taken 3 points from their last 5 matches, compared with 10 for Oxford City. Oxford City have scored 62 and conceded 67 in the league. Oxford City sit 17th, compared with Merthyr Town in 8th. The away side's form and match profile therefore support the 2 selection. The model rates this selection at 34.48%.

• Merthyr Town have taken 3 points from their last 5 matches (1W-0D-4L), while Oxford City have taken 10 (3W-1D-1L).
• Merthyr Town have scored 95 goals in 46 league games this season, conceding 86.
• Oxford City have scored 62 goals in 46 league games, conceding 67.
• Merthyr Town currently sit 8th on 70 points, while Oxford City are 17th on 56.
• Across the last 2 head-to-head meetings, these sides have averaged 3 goals per game.
• Both teams scored in 2 of those 2 meetings.