The match finished 2–1. The 2 prediction did not land.

Mantova host Sampdoria in the Serie B. Mantova have taken 4 points from their last 5 matches, compared with 11 for Sampdoria. Sampdoria have scored 35 and conceded 48 in the league. Sampdoria sit 13th, compared with Mantova in 9th. Sampdoria have won 1 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings. The away side's form and match profile therefore support the 2 selection. The model rates this selection at 39.22%.

• Mantova have taken 4 points from their last 5 matches (1W-1D-3L), while Sampdoria have taken 11 (3W-2D-0L).
• Mantova have scored 45 goals in 38 league games this season, conceding 57.
• Sampdoria have scored 35 goals in 38 league games, conceding 48.
• Mantova currently sit 9th on 46 points, while Sampdoria are 13th on 44.
• Across the last 5 head-to-head meetings, these sides have averaged 2.2 goals per game.
• Both teams scored in 2 of those 5 meetings.