Luxembourg host Iceland in the UEFA Nations League. Recent meetings have produced an average of 3 goals. That goal profile is what supports the Over 1.5 selection. The model rates this selection at 73.53%.

• Luxembourg have taken 3 points from their last 2 matches (1W-0D-1L), while Iceland have taken 2 (0W-2D-3L).
• Across the last 2 head-to-head meetings, these sides have averaged 3 goals per game.
• Both teams scored in 2 of those 2 meetings.
• Iceland have drawn 2 of their last 5 matches.
• 2 recent meetings have produced 3 goals per game, supporting Over 1.5.