Leon host Toluca in the Liga MX. Recent meetings have produced an average of 4.6 goals. Across the season the two attacks average 3.67 goals per game between them, while the two defences concede 2.75. That goal profile is what supports the Over 2.5 selection. The model rates this selection at 62.50%.

• Leon have taken 8 points from their last 5 matches (2W-2D-1L), while Toluca have taken 2 (0W-2D-3L).
• Leon have scored 18 goals in 12 league games this season, conceding 17.
• Toluca have scored 26 goals in 12 league games, conceding 16.
• Leon currently sit 7th on 18 points, while Toluca are 2nd on 21.
• Across the last 5 head-to-head meetings, these sides have averaged 4.6 goals per game.
• Both teams scored in 4 of those 5 meetings.