Premier League Regular Season - 4
Leeds

Leeds

4 - 1
FT
Newcastle

Newcastle

Expert Prediction

TIP
12
ODDS
1.30
PROBABILITY
76.92%

Result

Leeds 4 - 1 Newcastle
Finished
Prediction Result: WON

The match finished 4–1. The 12 prediction landed successfully.

Prediction Analysis

Leeds host Newcastle in the Premier League. Leeds have taken 8 points from their last 5 matches, compared with 11 for Newcastle. Across 5 recent meetings there were 1 home wins, 3 draws and 1 away wins. Covering two of the three outcomes, the 12 selection is supported by that spread of results. The model rates this selection at 76.92%.

Key Match Factors

  • Leeds have taken 8 points from their last 5 matches (2W-2D-1L), while Newcastle have taken 11 (3W-2D-0L).
  • Newcastle have scored 9 goals in 5 league games, conceding 9.
  • Leeds currently sit 5th on 9 points, while Newcastle are 9th on 8.
  • Across the last 5 head-to-head meetings, these sides have averaged 3.2 goals per game.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 meetings.
  • Leeds have drawn 2 of their last 5 matches.

Recent Form

Leeds
D D L W D
Newcastle
W D W L W

Head to Head

Sep 14, 2026
Leeds 4 - 1 Newcastle
Jan 7, 2026
Newcastle 4 - 3 Leeds
Aug 30, 2025
Leeds 0 - 0 Newcastle
May 13, 2023
Leeds 2 - 2 Newcastle
Dec 31, 2022
Newcastle 0 - 0 Leeds

Standings

Pos Team Pts
1 Manchester City Manchester City 15
2 Arsenal Arsenal 12
3 Brighton Brighton 10
4 Brentford Brentford 9
5 Leeds Leeds 9
6 Liverpool Liverpool 9
7 Everton Everton 9
8 Hull City Hull City 8
9 Newcastle Newcastle 8
10 Chelsea Chelsea 7
11 Ipswich Ipswich 6
12 Manchester United Manchester United 5
13 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 5
14 Sunderland Sunderland 4
15 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 4
16 Aston Villa Aston Villa 4
17 Bournemouth Bournemouth 3
18 Coventry Coventry 3
19 Fulham Fulham 2
20 Tottenham Tottenham 2

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