The match finished 2–1. The 2 prediction did not land.

Lazio host Sassuolo in the Serie A. Lazio have taken 3 points from their last 5 matches, compared with 12 for Sassuolo. Sassuolo have scored 46 and conceded 50 in the league. Sassuolo sit 11th, compared with Lazio in 9th. Sassuolo have won 1 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings. The away side's form and match profile therefore support the 2 selection. The model rates this selection at 29.41%.

• Lazio have taken 3 points from their last 5 matches (0W-3D-2L), while Sassuolo have taken 12 (4W-0D-1L).
• Lazio have scored 41 goals in 38 league games this season, conceding 40.
• Sassuolo have scored 46 goals in 38 league games, conceding 50.
• Lazio currently sit 9th on 54 points, while Sassuolo are 11th on 49.
• Across the last 5 head-to-head meetings, these sides have averaged 2 goals per game.
• Both teams scored in 2 of those 5 meetings.