The match finished 3–1. The X2 prediction did not land.

Jagiellonia host Ararat-Armenia in the UEFA Europa League. Jagiellonia have taken 3 points from their last 5 matches, compared with 12 for Ararat-Armenia. Across 1 recent meetings there were 1 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Covering two of the three outcomes, the X2 selection is supported by that spread of results. The model rates this selection at 35.71%.

• Jagiellonia have taken 3 points from their last 5 matches (1W-0D-4L), while Ararat-Armenia have taken 12 (4W-0D-1L).
• Jagiellonia have scored 13 goals in 7 league games this season, conceding 9.
• Ararat-Armenia have scored 4 goals in 5 league games, conceding 12.
• Jagiellonia currently sit 27th on 3 points, while Ararat-Armenia are 36th on 0.
• Across the last 1 head-to-head meetings, these sides have averaged 4 goals per game.
• Both teams scored in 1 of those 1 meetings.