Italy host Türkiye in the UEFA Nations League. Italy have taken 9 points from their last 4 matches, compared with 3 for Türkiye. Italy have scored 5 and conceded 4 in the league. Italy sit 3rd, above Türkiye in 4th. Italy have won 3 of the last 4 head-to-head meetings. The home side's form and match profile therefore support the 1 selection. The model rates this selection at 61.73%.

• Italy have taken 9 points from their last 4 matches (3W-0D-1L), while Türkiye have taken 3 (1W-0D-4L).
• Italy have scored 5 goals in 3 league games this season, conceding 4.
• Türkiye have scored 1 goals in 3 league games, conceding 8.
• Italy currently sit 3rd on 4 points, while Türkiye are 4th on 0.
• Across the last 4 head-to-head meetings, these sides have averaged 3.25 goals per game.
• Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 meetings.