Italy host Belgium in the UEFA Nations League. Recent meetings have produced an average of 2.6 goals. That goal profile is what supports the Over 1.5 selection. The model rates this selection at 80.00%.

• Italy have taken 6 points from their last 2 matches (2W-0D-0L), while Belgium have taken 10 (3W-1D-1L).
• Italy currently sit 2nd on 0 points, while Belgium are 3rd on 0.
• Across the last 5 head-to-head meetings, these sides have averaged 2.6 goals per game.
• Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 meetings.
• Belgium have drawn 1 of their last 5 matches.
• 5 recent meetings have produced 2.6 goals per game, supporting Over 1.5.