The match finished 3–1. The 2 prediction did not land.

Hartlepool host Carlisle in the National League. Hartlepool have taken 5 points from their last 5 matches, compared with 12 for Carlisle. Carlisle have scored 88 and conceded 53 in the league. Carlisle sit 3rd, compared with Hartlepool in 9th. Carlisle have won 3 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings. The away side's form and match profile therefore support the 2 selection. The model rates this selection at 46.51%.

• Hartlepool have taken 5 points from their last 5 matches (1W-2D-2L), while Carlisle have taken 12 (4W-0D-1L).
• Hartlepool have scored 54 goals in 46 league games this season, conceding 59.
• Carlisle have scored 88 goals in 47 league games, conceding 53.
• Hartlepool currently sit 9th on 68 points, while Carlisle are 3rd on 95.
• Across the last 5 head-to-head meetings, these sides have averaged 3.2 goals per game.
• Both teams scored in 4 of those 5 meetings.