The match finished 3–0. The 2 prediction did not land.

Groningen host AZ Alkmaar in the Eredivisie. Groningen have taken 4 points from their last 5 matches, compared with 12 for AZ Alkmaar. AZ Alkmaar have scored 58 and conceded 51 in the league. AZ Alkmaar sit 7th, compared with Groningen in 9th. AZ Alkmaar have won 3 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings. The away side's form and match profile therefore support the 2 selection. The model rates this selection at 40.00%.

• Groningen have taken 4 points from their last 5 matches (1W-1D-3L), while AZ Alkmaar have taken 12 (4W-0D-1L).
• Groningen have scored 49 goals in 35 league games this season, conceding 47.
• AZ Alkmaar have scored 58 goals in 34 league games, conceding 51.
• Groningen currently sit 9th on 48 points, while AZ Alkmaar are 7th on 52.
• Across the last 5 head-to-head meetings, these sides have averaged 3 goals per game.
• Both teams scored in 2 of those 5 meetings.