Groningen host Ajax in the Eredivisie. Recent meetings have produced an average of 3.2 goals. Across the season the two attacks average 5.25 goals per game between them, while the two defences concede 3. That goal profile is what supports the Over 2.5 selection. The model rates this selection at 71.43%.

• Groningen have taken 8 points from their last 5 matches (2W-2D-1L), while Ajax have taken 8 (2W-2D-1L).
• Groningen have scored 20 goals in 8 league games this season, conceding 14.
• Ajax have scored 22 goals in 8 league games, conceding 10.
• Groningen currently sit 6th on 14 points, while Ajax are 5th on 15.
• Across the last 5 head-to-head meetings, these sides have averaged 3.2 goals per game.
• Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 meetings.