Greece host Germany in the UEFA Nations League. Recent meetings have produced an average of 3.33 goals. Across the season the two attacks average 2 goals per game between them, while the two defences concede 1.5. That goal profile is what supports the Over 1.5 selection. The model rates this selection at 79.37%.

• Greece have taken 8 points from their last 5 matches (2W-2D-1L), while Germany have taken 5 (1W-2D-2L).
• Greece have scored 3 goals in 2 league games this season, conceding 1.
• Germany have scored 1 goals in 2 league games, conceding 2.
• Across the last 3 head-to-head meetings, these sides have averaged 3.33 goals per game.
• Both teams scored in 2 of those 3 meetings.
• Greece have drawn 2 of their last 5 matches.