Germany host Greece in the UEFA Nations League. Germany have taken 10 points from their last 5 matches, compared with 2 for Greece. Germany have won 2 of the last 2 head-to-head meetings. The home side's form and match profile therefore support the 1 selection. The model rates this selection at 71.43%.

• Germany have taken 10 points from their last 5 matches (3W-1D-1L), while Greece have taken 2 (0W-2D-2L).
• Across the last 2 head-to-head meetings, these sides have averaged 4.5 goals per game.
• Both teams scored in 2 of those 2 meetings.
• Germany have drawn 1 of their last 5 matches.
• Greece have drawn 2 of their last 4 matches.