The match finished 2–3. The 1 prediction did not land.

FSV Mainz 05 host Werder Bremen in the Bundesliga. FSV Mainz 05 have taken 9 points from their last 5 matches, compared with 6 for Werder Bremen. FSV Mainz 05 have scored 16 and conceded 13 in the league. FSV Mainz 05 sit 7th, above Werder Bremen in 6th. FSV Mainz 05 have won 1 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings. The home side's form and match profile therefore support the 1 selection. The model rates this selection at 59.88%.

• FSV Mainz 05 have taken 9 points from their last 5 matches (3W-0D-2L), while Werder Bremen have taken 6 (1W-3D-1L).
• FSV Mainz 05 have scored 16 goals in 7 league games this season, conceding 13.
• Werder Bremen have scored 15 goals in 7 league games, conceding 14.
• FSV Mainz 05 currently sit 7th on 10 points, while Werder Bremen are 6th on 12.
• Across the last 5 head-to-head meetings, these sides have averaged 2.6 goals per game.
• Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 meetings.