The match finished 0–2. The Home Win prediction did not land.

France host Spain in the World Cup. France have taken 15 points from their last 5 matches, compared with 15 for Spain. The home side's form and match profile therefore support the Home Win selection. The model rates this selection at 42.02%.

• France have taken 15 points from their last 5 matches (5W-0D-0L), while Spain have taken 15 (5W-0D-0L).