The match finished 1–0. The 2 prediction did not land.

FC Lugano host FC Thun in the Super League. FC Lugano have taken 5 points from their last 5 matches, compared with 10 for FC Thun. FC Thun have scored 80 and conceded 52 in the league. FC Thun sit 1st, compared with FC Lugano in 3rd. FC Thun have won 1 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings. The away side's form and match profile therefore support the 2 selection. The model rates this selection at 42.55%.

• FC Lugano have taken 5 points from their last 5 matches (1W-2D-2L), while FC Thun have taken 10 (3W-1D-1L).
• FC Lugano have scored 59 goals in 38 league games this season, conceding 42.
• FC Thun have scored 80 goals in 38 league games, conceding 52.
• FC Lugano currently sit 3rd on 57 points, while FC Thun are 1st on 74.
• Across the last 5 head-to-head meetings, these sides have averaged 2.6 goals per game.
• Both teams scored in 2 of those 5 meetings.