The match finished 1–2. The 2 prediction landed successfully.

Excelsior host Heerenveen in the Eredivisie. Excelsior have taken 4 points from their last 5 matches, compared with 9 for Heerenveen. Heerenveen have scored 59 and conceded 56 in the league. Heerenveen sit 8th, compared with Excelsior in 13th. Heerenveen have won 2 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings. The away side's form and match profile therefore support the 2 selection. The model rates this selection at 43.86%.

• Excelsior have taken 4 points from their last 5 matches (1W-1D-3L), while Heerenveen have taken 9 (3W-0D-2L).
• Excelsior have scored 43 goals in 34 league games this season, conceding 56.
• Heerenveen have scored 59 goals in 35 league games, conceding 56.
• Excelsior currently sit 13th on 38 points, while Heerenveen are 8th on 51.
• Across the last 5 head-to-head meetings, these sides have averaged 2.4 goals per game.
• Both teams scored in 2 of those 5 meetings.