Derby host Wrexham in the Championship. Recent meetings have produced an average of 2.5 goals. Across the season the two attacks average 2 goals per game between them, while the two defences concede 3.25. That goal profile is what supports the Over 1.5 selection. The model rates this selection at 75.19%.

• Derby have taken 4 points from their last 5 matches (1W-1D-3L), while Wrexham have taken 8 (2W-2D-1L).
• Derby have scored 7 goals in 8 league games this season, conceding 14.
• Wrexham have scored 9 goals in 8 league games, conceding 12.
• Derby currently sit 22nd on 5 points, while Wrexham are 14th on 10.
• Across the last 2 head-to-head meetings, these sides have averaged 2.5 goals per game.
• Both teams scored in 2 of those 2 meetings.