The match finished 0–1. The X2 prediction landed successfully.

Derby host Stoke City in the Championship. Derby have taken 2 points from their last 5 matches, compared with 10 for Stoke City. Across 5 recent meetings there were 1 home wins, 1 draws and 3 away wins. Covering two of the three outcomes, the X2 selection is supported by that spread of results. The model rates this selection at 66.67%.

• Derby have taken 2 points from their last 5 matches (0W-2D-3L), while Stoke City have taken 10 (3W-1D-1L).
• Derby have scored 10 goals in 12 league games this season, conceding 21.
• Stoke City have scored 18 goals in 12 league games, conceding 16.
• Derby currently sit 23rd on 7 points, while Stoke City are 9th on 20.
• Across the last 5 head-to-head meetings, these sides have averaged 2 goals per game.
• Both teams scored in 2 of those 5 meetings.