The match finished 3–2. The 2 prediction did not land.

Casa Pia host Arouca in the Primeira Liga. Casa Pia have taken 5 points from their last 5 matches, compared with 9 for Arouca. Arouca have scored 47 and conceded 64 in the league. Arouca sit 8th, compared with Casa Pia in 16th. The away side's form and match profile therefore support the 2 selection. The model rates this selection at 37.31%.

• Casa Pia have taken 5 points from their last 5 matches (1W-2D-2L), while Arouca have taken 9 (3W-0D-2L).
• Casa Pia have scored 33 goals in 36 league games this season, conceding 57.
• Arouca have scored 47 goals in 34 league games, conceding 64.
• Casa Pia currently sit 16th on 30 points, while Arouca are 8th on 42.
• Across the last 5 head-to-head meetings, these sides have averaged 2.4 goals per game.
• Both teams scored in 2 of those 5 meetings.