The match finished 3–3. The 2 prediction did not land.

Carrarese host Catanzaro in the Serie B. Carrarese have taken 2 points from their last 5 matches, compared with 13 for Catanzaro. Catanzaro have scored 70 and conceded 55 in the league. Catanzaro sit 5th, compared with Carrarese in 12th. Catanzaro have won 2 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings. The away side's form and match profile therefore support the 2 selection. The model rates this selection at 33.33%.

• Carrarese have taken 2 points from their last 5 matches (0W-2D-3L), while Catanzaro have taken 13 (4W-1D-0L).
• Carrarese have scored 47 goals in 38 league games this season, conceding 52.
• Catanzaro have scored 70 goals in 43 league games, conceding 55.
• Carrarese currently sit 12th on 44 points, while Catanzaro are 5th on 59.
• Across the last 5 head-to-head meetings, these sides have averaged 3.4 goals per game.
• Both teams scored in 4 of those 5 meetings.