Bulgaria host Iceland in the UEFA Nations League. Recent meetings have produced an average of 3 goals. Across the season the two attacks average 2.5 goals per game between them, while the two defences concede 1.5. That goal profile is what supports the Over 1.5 selection. The model rates this selection at 75.19%.

• Bulgaria have taken 5 points from their last 5 matches (1W-2D-2L), while Iceland have taken 8 (2W-2D-1L).
• Bulgaria have scored 3 goals in 4 league games this season, conceding 5.
• Iceland have scored 7 goals in 4 league games, conceding 1.
• Across the last 1 head-to-head meetings, these sides have averaged 3 goals per game.
• Bulgaria have drawn 2 of their last 5 matches.
• Iceland have drawn 2 of their last 5 matches.